Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.516035 9.774218 11.173948 12.850058 14.807116 17.025380 19.737865
2025-02-16 6.643764 8.205230 10.087644 12.536387 15.655540 19.519457 24.705046
2025-02-23 5.594427 7.283702 9.442264 12.426441 16.482075 21.854549 29.598072
2025-03-02 4.856224 6.595825 8.925433 12.309722 17.160958 23.955916 34.356306
2025-03-09 4.272176 6.013695 8.440546 12.118876 17.639924 25.758025 38.858852
2025-03-16 3.780874 5.489985 7.955786 11.835106 17.899984 27.212900 42.975841
2025-03-23 3.582029 5.360389 8.014296 12.345028 19.393639 30.694301 50.759621
2025-03-30 3.328460 5.115636 7.863993 12.497904 20.318152 33.356034 57.541847
2025-04-06 3.062325 4.820888 7.599470 12.425366 20.843302 35.390976 63.493647
2025-04-13 2.818013 4.535289 7.317274 12.283842 21.218394 37.188189 69.242775
2025-04-20 2.700104 4.444358 7.343086 12.666355 22.552303 40.852214 79.085920
2025-04-27 2.577033 4.331788 7.318476 12.951045 23.731174 44.362301 89.154920
2025-05-04 2.495096 4.285552 7.408965 13.463843 25.421333 49.118325 102.695869
2025-05-11 2.292954 4.008669 7.062891 13.119838 25.396793 50.445827 109.042972
2025-05-18 2.143475 3.813817 6.847810 13.003071 25.809791 52.719438 117.886536
2025-05-25 2.007886 3.632838 6.641664 12.880278 26.190944 54.965736 127.036083
2025-06-01 1.875539 3.446947 6.409563 12.679673 26.379479 56.806191 135.507313
2025-06-08 1.744018 3.252172 6.143619 12.381432 26.317872 58.067222 142.731714
2025-06-15 1.715321 3.255011 6.267116 12.917381 28.182728 64.054774 163.359831
2025-06-22 1.648609 3.176808 6.220069 13.078082 29.203169 68.159148 179.689082
2025-06-29 1.563582 3.054974 6.073062 13.001829 29.653755 70.914400 192.755144
2025-07-06 1.478355 2.926399 5.901577 12.853066 29.910907 73.212019 204.934717
2025-07-13 1.447935 2.909693 5.966232 13.255166 31.580049 79.433150 230.186417